Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.2%
Motherwell
20.4%
Draw
8.5%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Motherwell
vs
0.54
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.8%
1-0
15.5%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).