Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Sudtirol
28.9%
Draw
19.8%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Sudtirol
vs
0.83
Cesena
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).