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14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Bromley
25.3%
Draw
33.6%
Port Vale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Bromley

vs
1.21

Port Vale

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).