Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Valenciennes
18.1%
Draw
68.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Valenciennes
vs
2.05
Metz
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).