Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Merstham
16.8%
Draw
61.8%
Faversham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Merstham
vs
2.80
Faversham Town
Markets
BTTS75.8%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.582.1%
Over 3.564.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.6%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
5.8%
1-1
5.2%
1-4
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
4.3%
2-4
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).