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HHT: 01CSV

14 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Nott'm Forest
29.3%
Draw
29.1%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Nott'm Forest

vs
1.09

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).