Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Bradford
20.9%
Draw
19.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Bradford
vs
1.01
Sutton
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).