Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Le Mans
28.1%
Draw
25.7%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Le Mans
vs
0.79
Lens
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).