Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Aldershot
20.4%
Draw
18.9%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Aldershot
vs
1.27
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).