Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Ascoli
30.0%
Draw
15.8%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Ascoli
vs
0.63
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
0-0
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).