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12 Apr 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.6%
Santa Clara
20.7%
Draw
71.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

0.48

Santa Clara

vs
1.94

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS33.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
16.7%
0-1
16.6%
0-3
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
0-5
2.0%
2-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).