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06 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Korona Kielce
25.1%
Draw
19.5%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Korona Kielce

vs
0.97

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).