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03 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.8%
Inter
12.1%
Draw
5.1%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.63

Inter

vs
0.50

Venezia

Markets

BTTS36.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.1%
3-0
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
4-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).