Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
St Pauli
29.5%
Draw
25.2%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
St Pauli
vs
0.98
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).