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AHT: 01CSV

03 Mar 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Pendikspor
33.8%
Draw
41.6%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Pendikspor

vs
1.36

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).