Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Catanzaro
22.6%
Draw
17.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Catanzaro
vs
1.07
Empoli
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).