Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Santander
24.9%
Draw
21.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Santander
vs
0.92
Leganes
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).