Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.7%
Plymouth
15.1%
Draw
81.2%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Plymouth
vs
2.28
Burnley
Markets
BTTS26.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.8%
0-1
16.0%
0-3
14.3%
0-4
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
1-1
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
1-0
2.0%
1-5
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).