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DHT: 00CSV

26 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Bolton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Cambridge
26.2%
Draw
46.2%
Bolton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Cambridge

vs
1.29

Bolton

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).