Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Southend
24.9%
Draw
14.9%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Southend
vs
0.76
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).