Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Genoa
27.5%
Draw
11.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Genoa
vs
0.52
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
4-0
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).