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12 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.5%
Tamworth
31.5%
Draw
24.0%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Tamworth

vs
0.84

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).