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DHT: 11CSV

14 Aug 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Wurzburger Kickers
25.1%
Draw
51.7%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.82

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).