Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Ashton Athletic
29.7%
Draw
31.1%
South Park
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Ashton Athletic
vs
0.93
South Park
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).