Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Barrow
24.8%
Draw
52.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Barrow
vs
1.53
Notts County
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).