Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
AC London
26.4%
Draw
25.2%
Ried
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
AC London
vs
1.12
Ried
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).