Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Chesterfield
17.0%
Draw
13.6%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Chesterfield
vs
1.19
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).