Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Cheltenham
25.0%
Draw
29.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Cheltenham
vs
1.11
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).