Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
AVS
25.1%
Draw
46.4%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
AVS
vs
1.46
Alverca
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).