Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Fulham
27.6%
Draw
34.7%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Fulham
vs
1.45
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).