Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Shrewsbury
25.5%
Draw
32.6%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Shrewsbury
vs
1.18
Newport County
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).