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AHT: 20CSV

17 Dec 2024 · 20:15

Oviedo

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Zaragoza
29.3%
Draw
47.5%
Oviedo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Zaragoza

vs
1.24

Oviedo

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).