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AHT: 02CSV

19 Sept 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Waasland-Beveren
31.5%
Draw
38.6%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Waasland-Beveren

vs
1.13

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).