Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Chambly
22.7%
Draw
26.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Chambly
vs
1.10
Niort
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).