Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Malmö FF
17.5%
Draw
12.2%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Malmö FF
vs
1.07
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).