Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Ath Madrid
24.7%
Draw
15.7%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Ath Madrid
vs
0.71
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).