Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Tenerife
28.0%
Draw
43.1%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Tenerife
vs
1.27
Malaga
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).