Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Nantes
25.1%
Draw
49.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Nantes
vs
1.46
Lille
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).