Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Cesena
27.0%
Draw
47.8%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cesena
vs
1.62
Pisa
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).