Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Cambridge
24.8%
Draw
24.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Cambridge
vs
0.98
Swindon
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).