Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Stoke
32.7%
Draw
24.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Stoke
vs
0.78
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).