Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Oxford
32.1%
Draw
28.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Oxford
vs
0.91
Luton
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).