Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Genoa
27.0%
Draw
22.0%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Genoa
vs
0.81
Parma
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).