Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Metz
15.9%
Draw
69.7%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Metz
vs
2.57
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).