Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Eibar
27.5%
Draw
18.0%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Eibar
vs
0.67
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).