Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Ath Madrid
24.5%
Draw
16.1%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Ath Madrid
vs
0.76
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).