Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Famalicao
19.1%
Draw
14.4%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Famalicao
vs
0.82
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).