Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Sporting Gijón
25.0%
Draw
20.6%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.87
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).