Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Bury
17.2%
Draw
57.9%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Bury
vs
2.79
Dorking
Markets
BTTS79.0%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.568.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-3
6.0%
1-1
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-4
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).