Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.7%
Union Berlin
12.5%
Draw
80.8%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Union Berlin
vs
3.05
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
7.4%
1-4
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-5
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).